The problem of probability

Lets presume for a moment that  . . .  certain things would need simultaneous mutations to get a useful function. We could try and imagine these mutations accumulating till the function becomes useful. But does this work with chance? Remember that in mutation . . . we will have additions that are positive. But we will also be dealing with cancellations. This is like having a set of squares on a board . . . and some hits on the board will fill them and others will erase. So when will all the squares be filled?


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One Response to “The problem of probability”

  1. limey Says:

    There are mutations and then there are mutations. Not all mutations are equal.

    You are a product of half of each of your parents genes, some of those genes will have mutated as part of that process. Not all of those mutations would be visible, or even have any measurable affect.

    Skin colour is a great example. White skinned Europeans have white skin because it lets in more vitamin D from the weaker sunlight of our latitude. We don’t need the burn protection that black skin gives because. This is a chance mutation, but a very beneficial one, hence it took hold. So while it is a random event, its also inevitable. This mutation was going to eventually happen, and it probably happened multiple times.

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